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Jalen Hurts

What Can We Expect Jalen Hurts to Be in 2021?

By far, the number one question for the 2021 Eagles is what will Hurts be? Not only is this important to their season, but maybe more importantly long-term, it will dictate whether the Eagles need to use…

Python code

Creating an Analytic Data Set of NFL Player Value

ProFootball Reference’s Approximate Value (AV) is a great NFL analytics measure of player value, created by PFR’s founder Doug Drinen. AV, similar to baseball’s WAR or basketball’s PER metrics, puts a single value on a player’s season…

DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Will Hit the “Over” on Everything

First a disclaimer — this is not betting advice and I never bet on sports (or bet or gamble on anything actually). I have had way too much statistics in my life to go against lines set…

Offensive line scatterplot

2020 Offensive Line Grades – Win Rate vs. PFF

If you don’t follow Brad Congelio, PhD and Professor of Sports Analytics at Kutztown University (@BradCongelio), you should – lot of great sports analytics. A tweet of his got me thinking on different metrics for offensive line,…

Scatterplot offense

The Best Metrics to Watch That Drive Player Value – Offense

I’m procrastinating finishing the Eagles draft history analysis because the last two positions to do are tight end and running back and both are pretty uninteresting positions to look at (mostly because the relatively small number of…

Scatterplot defense

The Best Metrics to Watch That Drive Player Value – Defense

Last time I ran through offensive metrics (link here) that matter and now I will hit the defense. Defense is a lot harder to simplify as there are fewer true individual metrics and a player’s impact on…

Automated scraping of data

Automating Scraping of NFL Team Data With Python

Credit to Steven Morse (@thestevemo or his blog at https://stmorse.github.io/index.html) who had code I used as a basis for my ProFootballReference scraping scripts. He is a good follow for math and analytics work as well. The full…