Looking back at my assumptions for the 9 game win prediction last season, what I got right and horribly wrong. And a not-yet-complete peak at a 2022 11-game win prediction.
Tag: AV
2021 Win Projections – NFC
2021 win projections for the NFC using an aggregated team value based model.
Projecting Win Totals Using Team Approximate Value (AV) Metrics
Creating a 2021 win projection model using aggregate player value by team. This post explains the model with a back-test of the 2020 Eagles.
Why the 2021 Eagles Will Beat Their 6.5 Win Projection
Using historical value (AV) data and relevant assumptions on the 2021 Eagles, a build-up of team value shows their expected win total is near 10 wins vs. current betting lines of 6.5 wins.