A lot has been made of Jalen Hurts’ deep passing to start 2021, with the opener having few deep passes and the 2nd game having a couple of underthrows. I look at various stats to see where Hurts sits in deep passing – he has been very good to start his career.
Tag: analytics
Some Stats on a Very Good Opener in Atlanta
A quick look at some of the analytics on the week 1 win. The Eagles had a really good week and there is a lot of optimism to take away from the game.
2021 Win Predictions – AFC
2021 win projections for the AFC using an aggregated team value based model
2021 Win Projections – NFC
2021 win projections for the NFC using an aggregated team value based model.
Projecting Win Totals Using Team Approximate Value (AV) Metrics
Creating a 2021 win projection model using aggregate player value by team. This post explains the model with a back-test of the 2020 Eagles.
The Eagles Offensive Line 2021 Outlook
The Eagles offensive line was historically injured in 2020 and a repeat of that would be a statistical surprise, so expect a dramatic improvement in 2021. But also a look at the long-term line, what to expect, and why continued investment is needed.
What Can We Expect Jalen Hurts to Be in 2021?
A look at what Jalen Hurts will be for the Eagles in 2021 and which data matters (and which doesn’t). There isn’t a bigger impact to the Eagles than if Hurts can ascend to be their long-term starter.
The Best Metrics to Watch That Drive Player Value – Offense
A review of the top metrics that drive player value on the offense with a specific focus on what matters when watching a game.
2020 Offensive Line Grades – Win Rate vs. PFF
A quick comparison of PFF offensive line blocking grades vs. ESPN’s block win rates. Run and pass block win rates are a better picture of offensive line value.
The Analytics of the Eagles Draft Philosophy Series: “The QB Factory”
An analysis of Howie’s “quarterback factory” approach and what the data shows on chances of finding the QB that teams need. Also, a quick look at Howie’s dealing of QBs.