How to use the data


Career Value (AV):

Approximate Value (AV) was created by PFR's founder Doug Drinen and is a measure of how effective offensive players are at generating points or defensive players are at preventing scoring. AV, similar to baseball's WAR or basketball's PER metrics, puts a single value on a player's season and is created for all positions. AV is highly correlated to EPA but, unlike EPA which is only directly available for QBs, RBs, WRs, and TEs, AV is created for all positions, allowing valuation of players across positions.
To put some context on the actual AV number, here are some examples and player classifications:

More detail can be found on PFR's website here: https://www.sports-reference.com/blog/approximate-value/


AV per Year:

Since AV accumulates each season, players that have been in the league longer will have higher AVs. Calculating a value per season (AV per year) provides a way to compare players years.


Relative AV:

The percentage of the total AV generated by a player in the draft class. Like AV per Year above, Relative AV gives another way to compare players across year. The one difference is Relative AV gives credit for career length where AV per Year only reflects , which
Example: Jason Kelce has generated 92 AV out of 4,459 total AV generated by the 2011 draft class, giving Kelce a Relative AV of 2.063 (calculated by 92/4459) and an AV per Year of 7.92. Matt Judon, drafted in 2016, has almost the exact AV per Year as Kelce at 7.86 but a Relative AV of only 1.377 as he has generated half the career AV as Kelce. Judon is a good player, but nowhere near the value as Kelce and this is reflected in Relative AV.


Player Value %:

The percentile rank of a player based on their Relative AV compared against all other players in their draft year. A player with a percentile of 80% means they have generated more value than 80% of the players in their draft class.


Position Value %:

The percentile rank of a player based on their Relative AV compared against all other players that play their position. A player with a percentile of 80% means they have generated more value than 80% of other players at their position. This helps compare players across positions given that certain positions (QB specifically) will naturally generate more AV.


Value vs Expected:

An expected value has been calculated for each pick slot using historical draft data. For example, pick 1 in the first round has an expected 65.29 player percentile, pick 2 is 64.57, and so on through the draft until pick until pick 262 with an expected value percentile of 4.98. The Value vs. Expected field is the just the drafted player's actual Player Value % - the expected value at their draft slot. Where Relative AV and Player/Position Value Percentiles give a measure of a player's actual value regardless of draft spot, Value vs. Expected measures draft efficiency or productivity.
Example: In 2022, Kayvon Thibodeaux was taken at pick 5 and generated 7AV in his rookie season, good for a 63% percentile ranking. Jamaree Salyer was taken at pick 195 by the Chargers and generated the same value (7AV). But when you consider the draft location for each, Jamaree was 51.24% above expected value in the 6th round where the majority of players never make any impact, while Thibodeaux - a solid pick - is 0.25% below expected value.


Class:

Groups players by their Player Value % into classifications. "Elite players" are the top 15% of players in the league (percentiles of 85 or above), "Above Average" are between 60-85, "League Average" are between 40-60, and "Poor" are below 40 percentile players.


Position # Drafted:

Ranks players by their position order drafted. The first CB taken will be CB1 or position #1, the second CB taken would be CB2 or position #2, and so on.


Position Value Rank:

Ranks the players by the value they generated against all others drafted at their position. Used with Position # Drafted above this shows what the draft order was vs. should have been.
Example:In 2022 CB Tariq Woolen had a "Position # Drafted" of 33 as the the 33rd DB taken at pick 153 but has a "Position Value Rank" of 2, trailing only Sauce Gardner in rookie value.


Draft Capital:

Used in the Teams page to reflect how a team invest their draft resources, I use Ben Baldwin's draft capital model (link here) based on surplus value which indexes the 1st pick to a value of 100.




Interpreting the charts


Team Draft Performance:

On the Team Drafts page, this chart shows both a team's draft value and efficiency.

Team draft performance chart

In the Eagles example chart above, the following takeaways are made:


Team Positional Spend:

On the Team Drafts page, this positions teams into quadrants on how they use their draft capital. The x-axis shows defense vs. offense with teams that draft chart groups draft capital between oprovides a simplified view of .

  • Defense vs. Offense (x-axis): Shows the percentage of draft capital used on offense vs. defense. Teams further to the left use more draft capital on defense, teams further to the right use more draft capital on offense
  • Trenches vs. Skill Positions (y-axis): Teams higher on the chart use more draft capital on the offensive and defensive lines. Teams lower use more on skill positions and secondary (QB, WR, RB, TE, CB, S)

In this Eagles example chart, the following takeaways are made:

  • While the Eagles are viewed as a "trenches first" team (and they do prioritize trenches), the reality is they have used significant draft capital over the past five drafts on QBs (2.6% above league average with Wentz and Hurts), WRs (6.4% above league average using eight draft picks including two 1sts)
  • These investments in QB and WR also skew the draft capital usage heavily towards offense
Team draft usage